I love the Average True Range (ATR) indicator.
Because unlike other trading indicators that measure momentum, trend direction, overbought levels, and etc.
The ATR indicator is none of it.
Instead, it’s something entirely different.
And if used correctly, the Average True Range is one of the most powerful indicators you’ll come across.
That’s why I’ve written this post to explain the awesomeness of the Average True Range indicator.
Here’s what you’ll learn:
- What is the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and how does it work
- How to “hunt” for EXPLOSIVE moves in the market before it occurs using the ATR indicator
- How to use the ATR indicator and set a proper stop loss so you don’t get stopped out prematurely
- How to use the ATR indicator and ride BIG trends
- How to identify “exhaustion” moves and market reversals with the ATR indicator
Then let’s begin.
The Average True Range is an indicator that measures volatility.
It’s developed by J. Welles Wilder and was first mentioned in his book, New Concepts in Technical Analysis Systems (in 1978).
Now you might be wondering:
“How is the ATR values calculated?”
Well, it’s done using 1 of 3 methods, depending on how the candles are formed.
Method 1: Current high less the current low
Method 2: Current high less the previous close
Method 3: Current low less the previous close
No worries, just look at the image below…
As you can see:
Example A: The current candle’s range is larger than the previous candle, we use method 1.
Example B: The current candle closes higher than the previous candle, we use method 2.
Example C: The current candle closes lower than the previous candle, we use method 3.
The takeaway is this…
The larger the range of the candles, the greater the ATR value (and vice versa).
A mistake traders make is to assume that volatility and trend go in the same direction.
The Average True Range indicator measures the volatility of the market.
This means volatility can be low while the market is trending higher (and vice versa).
Here’s an example: The S&P is trending higher while volatility is heading lower…
Does it make sense?
Then let’s move on…
Here’s a fact:
The volatility of the markets is always changing.
It moves from a period of low volatility to high volatility (and vice versa).
This means that when the market is in a low volatility period… you can expect volatility to pick up, soon.
So, how do you use this knowledge to find explosive breakout trades before it occurs?
- Wait for volatility to reach multi-year lows (on the weekly timeframe)
- Identify the range during this time period
- Trade the break of the range
Here are a few examples:
Brent Crude Oil multi-year low volatility followed by a break of Support…
Eurusd multi-year low volatility followed by a break of Support…
Do you notice how these explosive moves occur after a period of low volatility?
Let me ask you…
Have you ever put on a trade only to watch the market hit your stop loss, and then continue moving in your expected direction?
It sucks, right?
And that’s because your stop loss is “too tight”.
So, what’s the solution?
Give your trade room to breathe.
This means your stop loss should be wide enough to accommodate the daily swings of the market.
Now you’re probably wondering:
“But how much is wide enough?”
Well, you can use the ATR indicator to help you with it…
- Find out what’s the current ATR value
- Select a multiple of the ATR value
- Add that amount to nearest Support & Resistance level
If you are long from Support and have a multiple of 1, then set your stop loss 1ATR below the lows of Support.
Or if you’re short from Resistance, and have a multiple of 2 then set your stop loss 2ATR above the highs of Resistance.
Need more explanation?
Then go watch this training video below where I’ll explain how to use the ATR indicator to set a proper stop loss – so you don’t get stopped out “too early”.
Here’s the thing:
If you want to ride massive trends in the markets, you must use a trailing stop loss on your trades.
The question is… how?
There are many ways to do it, but one of the popular methods is to use the ATR indicator to trail your stop loss.
- Decide on the ATR multiple you’ll use (whether it’s 3, 4, 5 and etc.)
- If you’re long, then minus X ATR from the highs and that’s your trailing stop loss
- If you’re short, then add X ATR from the lows and that’s your trailing stop loss
And to make your life easier, there’s a useful indicator called “Chandelier stops” which performs this function.
Here’s an example: 5ATR as a trailing stop loss
Now you’re probably wondering:
“So Rayner, which is the best ATR multiple to use?”
Well, the truth is… there’s no best ATR multiple.
If you use a smaller ATR multiple, then you’ll ride a small trend (and the time held on the trade is shorter).
If you use a bigger ATR multiple, then you’ll ride a bigger trend (and the time held on the trade is longer).
So which approach suits you best?
Only you can answer that question yourself.
I’m sure you agree nobody can work “forever” without exhaustion.
After an hour or so, most of us will need a break to recharge.
Why am I telling you this?
Because the market is just like you, it can only “work” for so long before taking a break.
This means there’s a good probability the market will “exhaust” itself after hitting its limits.
Now you might be wondering…
“How do you tell what’s the limit?”
Well, you can find out using the Average True Range indicator.
- Identify the current ATR value
- Multiply it by 2
- If the market moves 2 times the ATR value, then it could be “exhausted”
Now, I don’t suggest you trade this concept in isolation.
Instead, combine it with Support & Resistance and you’ll find yourself identifying market reversals ahead of anyone else.
Here’s an example: GBPJPY has a weekly ATR value of 300 pips…
And now, you realized GBPJPY has moved 500 pips (close to 2ATR) and it came into an area of Support.
Then, it forms a large Bullish Engulfing pattern on the Daily timeframe.
Now… what do you think will happen?
Well, I can’t say for sure.
But you have an “exhaustion” move, the price coming into an area of Support, and a Bullish candlestick pattern that signals the market could reverse higher.
Here’s what you’ve learned:
- The Average True Range (ATR) is an indicator that measures the volatility of the market
- You can use the ATR indicator to identify multi-year low volatility because it can lead to explosive breakout trades
- You can set your stop loss 1 ATR away from Support & Resistance so you don’t get stopped out prematurely
- If you want to ride a trend, you can trail your stop loss X ATR away from the highs/lows
- When the market hits 2 ATR or more within a day, it tends to be “exhausted” and could reverse